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Recon Technology, Ltd (RCON)

Business Summary

Recon Technology, Ltd is a Cayman Islands holding company that conducts all of its operations in China through its subsidiaries and variable interest entities (VIEs), primarily Nanjing Recon Technology Co., BHD Petroleum Technology Co., and their respective subsidiaries, under contractual arrangements that have not been tested in a court of law . The company operates in the Chinese petroleum industry, providing integrated automation services, equipment, and software, and is also developing a waste plastic chemical recycling business in Weifang, Shandong Province, designed to process 40,000 tons of low-value waste plastics per year and produce approximately 30,000 tons of plastic pyrolysis oil and 6,000 tons of carbon residue annually . The industry is highly competitive, with several international companies qualified in China since the 1990s and at least five domestic private competitors, and competition is expected to intensify as more integrated automation service providers enter the market .

The company's primary competitors include Schneider-electric, Siemens, Honeywell International, Emerson Process Management, and Rockwell Automation, which have significantly greater financial and marketing resources and name recognition . The company competes based on the quality of services and its intellectual property, holding over seventy copyrights on software and over fifty patents on products . Revenue is highly concentrated, with CNPC accounting for approximately 65% of revenue in fiscal year 2026, and Sinopec accounting for 12% in the same period . The company's majority stake in Future Gas Station (Beijing) (FGS), which now comprises a large operating segment, faces significant decline due to Sinopec's decision to cease direct cooperation with external companies, causing FGS's revenue and activities to fall sharply to zero by the end of June 2026 .

The company generates revenue through the license and implementation of software applications and hardware innovations for the Chinese petroleum industry, along with related services, and derives substantially all of its revenue from this concentrated group of products . Revenue is recognized based on a five-step process, and the company's revenue is subject to high seasonality, with the first quarter typically the smallest due to clients' budgeting schedules . The company also extends significant loans to third parties, with outstanding loans of approximately ¥330.0 million ($48.6 million) as of June 30, 2026, bearing interest at rates ranging from approximately 4.2% to 12.0% per annum, including a ¥100 million loan with a 20-year term .

The company's business segments include automation products and software, equipment and accessories, oilfield environmental protection, and platform outsourcing services, with revenue from these segments totaling RMB 109,898,245 in fiscal year 2026 . The waste plastic chemical recycling business is in an early stage, with construction in progress of approximately ¥86.4 million ($12.7 million) as of June 30, 2026, and trial production commenced on September 28, 2026 . The company also operates a facility through Gansu BHD with an annual capacity of 60,000 tons for the comprehensive utilization and harmless treatment of oilfield oily waste, though its Hazardous Waste Operating Permit expired on July 26, 2023, and has not yet been renewed .

Significant operational developments include the re-signing of a series of VIE agreements with BHD and Nanjing Recon on July 10, 2025 . The company effected a 1-for-200 reverse stock split of its Class A Ordinary Shares on August 18, 2026, resulting in 353,154 Class A Ordinary Shares issued and outstanding as of June 30, 2026, equivalent to 70,627,426 on a pre-split basis . The company also entered into an at-market issuance sales agreement with Pacific Century Securities LLC on July 28, 2026 . Additionally, the company recognized an allowance for credit losses against a loan to a third party during fiscal year 2026 .

In fiscal year 2026, the company reported revenue of RMB 109,898,245, compared to RMB 66,285,032 in fiscal year 2025 and RMB 68,854,280 in fiscal year 2024 . Loss from operations was RMB 41,227,583 in fiscal year 2026, compared to RMB 57,319,712 in fiscal year 2025 and RMB 71,637,911 in fiscal year 2024 . Net loss attributable to Recon Technology, Ltd was RMB 29,660,048 in fiscal year 2026, compared to RMB 42,588,554 in fiscal year 2025 and RMB 49,871,259 in fiscal year 2024 . Loss per share was RMB 266.52 basic and diluted in fiscal year 2026, compared to RMB 936.18 in fiscal year 2025 and RMB 1,974.16 in fiscal year 2024 .

Business Outlook & Financial Sufficiency

A major growth vector is the waste plastic chemical recycling business, which is in trial production phase and designed to process 40,000 tons of low-value waste plastics per year, producing approximately 30,000 tons of plastic pyrolysis oil and 6,000 tons of carbon residue annually . The company aims to obtain and maintain ISCC certification to sell pyrolysis oil as sustainable feedstock to domestic and international customers, but faces risks including dependence on third-party technology partners and the need for significant capital expenditures .

Another growth vector is the expansion into overseas and offshore oilfield markets, which drove a substantial portion of the increase in revenue from automation products and software during fiscal year 2026 . The company intends to continue expanding international operations, despite risks such as political instability, tariffs, sanctions, and longer payment cycles .

The margin and cost outlook is influenced by the company's capital-intensive nature and the need for additional capital to fund growth strategies, with potential dilution from selling additional equity or debt securities . The company's ability to operate profitably depends on developing and protecting proprietary technology, and it faces risks from third-party vendors requiring substantial advance payments .

Operationally, the company is focused on ramping up the chemical recycling plant from trial production to stable commercial production, with construction in progress of approximately ¥86.4 million ($12.7 million) as of June 30, 2026 . The company also relies on experienced personnel and faces challenges in attracting and retaining skilled employees in a competitive market .

Capital allocation includes significant loans to third parties, with outstanding loans of approximately ¥330.0 million ($48.6 million) as of June 30, 2026, and the company does not intend to pay dividends in the foreseeable future, instead reinvesting profits to grow the business . The company may require additional cash resources for growth, and financing may not be available on favorable terms .

Headwinds include the decline of FGS's business due to Sinopec's decision to cease direct cooperation, causing revenue and activities to fall to zero by the end of June 2026 . The company also faces risks from the expired Hazardous Waste Operating Permit for Gansu BHD, which is expected to negatively impact revenue streams and operational efficiency .

Regulatory and macro constraints include the Chinese government's substantial influence over business activities, with uncertainties regarding the interpretation and enforcement of new laws and regulations, including the Trial Measures for overseas securities offering and listing, which require filing procedures with the CSRC for future offerings . The company also faces risks from the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, which could prohibit trading if the PCAOB cannot inspect its auditors for consecutive years .

Management Sentiments & Priorities

Management's message emphasizes the company's strategic shift towards the waste plastic chemical recycling business, which is in trial production phase, and the expansion into overseas oilfield markets, which drove revenue growth in fiscal year 2026 . The company acknowledges the significant decline in FGS's business due to Sinopec's decision to cease cooperation, and management is exploring new business ventures for FGS, though there is no guarantee of success . Key strategic priorities include completing the commissioning and ramp-up of the chemical recycling plant, obtaining ISCC certification, and continuing to expand international operations, while managing risks related to customer concentration, regulatory changes, and the need for additional capital .

Financial Details

Total revenue for fiscal year 2026 was RMB 109,898,245, compared to RMB 66,285,032 in fiscal year 2025 and RMB 68,854,280 in fiscal year 2024 . Net loss attributable to Recon Technology, Ltd was RMB 29,660,048 in fiscal year 2026, compared to RMB 42,588,554 in fiscal year 2025 and RMB 49,871,259 in fiscal year 2024 . Loss per share was RMB 266.52 basic and diluted in fiscal year 2026, compared to RMB 936.18 in fiscal year 2025 and RMB 1,974.16 in fiscal year 2024 . Loss from operations was RMB 41,227,583 in fiscal year 2026, compared to RMB 57,319,712 in fiscal year 2025 and RMB 71,637,911 in fiscal year 2024 . Total assets were RMB 639,446,774 as of June 30, 2026, compared to RMB 525,621,125 as of June 30, 2025 . Total liabilities were RMB 87,016,372 as of June 30, 2026, compared to RMB 71,651,378 as of June 30, 2025 . Total shareholders' equity was RMB 566,327,139 as of June 30, 2026, compared to RMB 467,427,518 as of June 30, 2025 . The company recognized an allowance for credit losses against a loan to a third party during fiscal year 2026, which reduced reported results . For segment performance, revenue from automation products and software increased significantly due to overseas projects, while FGS's revenue fell to zero by the end of June 2026 .

Risk Factors

The company faces material risks from customer concentration, with CNPC accounting for approximately 65% of revenue in fiscal year 2026, and any termination of this relationship would materially harm operations . The waste plastic chemical recycling business is in early development with no operating history, requiring significant capital, and construction in progress was approximately ¥86.4 million ($12.7 million) as of June 30, 2026, with risks of not achieving expected yields or securing feedstock . The company has extended significant loans to third parties totaling approximately ¥330.0 million ($48.6 million) as of June 30, 2026, representing a substantial portion of total assets, and an allowance for credit losses was recognized during fiscal year 2026 . The expired Hazardous Waste Operating Permit for Gansu BHD, which expired on July 26, 2023, and has not been renewed, is expected to negatively impact revenue streams and operational efficiency . The decline of FGS's business due to Sinopec's decision to cease direct cooperation has caused revenue and activities to fall to zero by the end of June 2026, potentially leading to substantial losses .

References

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Analysis on 9/30/2026